Description

This analysis provides a forecast of VET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.013678 0.015464 0.017410 0.019689 0.022290 0.025168 0.028599
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.011049 0.013525 0.016458 0.020200 0.024863 0.030502 0.037870
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.009310 0.012008 0.015384 0.019944 0.025973 0.033716 0.044488
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.008106 0.010906 0.014573 0.019760 0.026961 0.036684 0.050939
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.007194 0.010037 0.013905 0.019602 0.027853 0.039490 0.057354
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.006661 0.009603 0.013749 0.020082 0.029618 0.043618 0.066048
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006030 0.008948 0.013191 0.019886 0.030323 0.046208 0.072657
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005712 0.008714 0.013210 0.020528 0.032327 0.050920 0.083059
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.005129 0.008015 0.012450 0.019869 0.032186 0.052201 0.087963
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004700 0.007514 0.011945 0.019553 0.032545 0.054287 0.094396
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004242 0.006924 0.011242 0.018837 0.032143 0.055024 0.098502
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.004090 0.006821 0.011324 0.019443 0.034059 0.059924 0.110634
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003916 0.006674 0.011327 0.019929 0.035844 0.064830 0.123490
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003749 0.006523 0.011313 0.020385 0.037622 0.069916 0.137343
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003487 0.006183 0.010934 0.020131 0.038033 0.072449 0.146379
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003261 0.005888 0.010609 0.019945 0.038546 0.075211 0.156192
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003060 0.005622 0.010313 0.019785 0.039087 0.078069 0.166529
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002960 0.005537 0.010348 0.020270 0.040970 0.083845 0.183928
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002784 0.005291 0.010056 0.020072 0.041416 0.086647 0.194974
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002720 0.005259 0.010174 0.020721 0.043714 0.093650 0.216610
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002515 0.004932 0.009684 0.020055 0.043093 0.094159 0.222840
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002364 0.004702 0.009371 0.019736 0.043206 0.096322 0.233354
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002184 0.004401 0.008890 0.019012 0.042335 0.096128 0.237932